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Allred Campaign Internal Poll and Texas Election Security
Allred Internal Poll Shows Tie, While Other Polls Give Cruz Lead in Close Texas Senate Race
TXLege
October 29, 2024
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U.S. Rep. Colin Allred’s campaign has released an internal poll showing a 46%-46% tie in his race against Sen. Ted Cruz, though recent external polls suggest Cruz holds a slight lead. With the Texas Senate race rated as “Lean Republican,” the data indicates a highly competitive contest as early voting begins. Meanwhile, Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson has announced new election security measures, and Rep. Hugh Shine and AG Ken Paxton emphasize voter awareness and integrity in the final days before Election Day.
Today’s Insights:
Allred’s Campaign Releases Poll Showing Tied Texas Senate Race
Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson Asserts Strengthened Election Security
Rep. Hugh Shine Encourages Bell County Voters to Observe Polls
AG Ken Paxton Warns of Voter Fraud at Poker Event
Allred’s Campaign Releases Poll Showing Tied Texas Senate Race
Image Credit: Politico
U.S. Rep. Colin Allred’s campaign has released an internal poll indicating a tie in the Texas Senate race, with both Allred and incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz polling at 46% among likely voters. The poll, conducted from October 18 to October 23, surveyed 800 likely voters via landline, cell phone, and text-to-online interviews. This reflects a narrowing of the gap since May, when Cruz held a seven-point lead over Allred (47% to 40%), and a two-point lead earlier in October (44% to 46%).
However, recent external polls provide additional context on the race’s dynamics. An October poll by the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project found Cruz leading by seven points, at 51% to 44%. Meanwhile, a New York Times/Siena College poll, also from October, showed Cruz with a four-point lead, 50% to 46%, within the margin of error and indicating a close race. We’ve rated the Texas Senate race as “Lean Republican” and project it to be closer than other statewide races.
Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson Asserts Strengthened Election Security
Image Credit: Texas State Directory
Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson recently outlined enhanced security measures for the upcoming election in her interview with Inside Texas Politics, asserting that "this upcoming election will be the most secure election Texas has ever had." To ensure the integrity of the state’s election system, Nelson highlighted Texas' commitment to protecting voter data and preventing duplicate registrations. Although Texas has not joined additional multi-state systems for managing voter rolls, Nelson emphasized that the state has implemented new tools and technologies to detect and prevent voter fraud. These tools include advanced voter roll management within Texas, allowing for more accurate detection of duplicate records, improved data matching techniques to cross-check voter information across various databases, and enhanced cybersecurity protocols to protect voter information.
Rep. Hugh Shine Urges Bell County Voters to Support Democrat Jennifer Lee Over GOP Nominee
Republican Rep. Hugh Shine recently urged Bell County voters to vote against GOP nominee Hillary Hickland in the Texas House District 55 race. In a message to voters, Shine voiced his support for Democratic candidate Jennifer Lee, stating, "If public education is a priority for them, they need to vote for (Democrat) Jennifer Lee." Hickland defeated Shine, 53%-40%, in the Republican primary.
AG Ken Paxton Warns of Voter Fraud at Poker Event
At a Texas “Politics and Poker” event, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton warned about the risks of voter fraud and urging Texans to remain vigilant during the election process. This contrasts with Texas Security of State Jane Nelson messaging that this year’s election is a secure election.
We hope you enjoyed today’s read!
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